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Sunday, January 19, 2025

What To Count on within the Markets This Week



Key Takeaways

  • The Federal Reserve will announce a call on interest-rate cuts this week, with traders anticipating that the central financial institution will once more decrease borrowing prices.
  • Remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday will give additional perception into the longer term path of rates of interest and the economic system.
  • Traders may also be waiting for studies on inflation, retail gross sales, GDP, residence gross sales, and shopper confidence. 
  • Earnings studies are scheduled from chipmaker Micron Expertise, attire vendor Nike, and package deal supply service FedEx.

The Federal Reserve will announce its newest choice on rates of interest when it concludes its assembly on Wednesday, with traders extensively anticipating the central financial institution to chop charges once more. After the announcement, Fed Chair Jerome Powell will take media questions and can seemingly present extra particulars on the economic system.

On Friday, the private consumption expenditures (PCE) report will present whether or not inflation stays above the Fed’s goal degree. Revisions to third-quarter gross home product (GDP) are additionally scheduled this week, and traders will probably be watching studies on retail gross sales, present residence gross sales, and shopper sentiment. 

Nvidia (NVDA) accomplice Micron Expertise (MU) will situation its quarterly earnings this week, with studies additionally coming from footwear chief Nike (NKE), enterprise advisors Accenture (ACN), supply big FedEx (FDX), and cruise operator Carnival (CCL).

Monday, Dec. 16

  • S&P flash U.S. PMI (December)
  • Empire State manufacturing survey (December)

Tuesday, Dec. 17

  • U.S. retail gross sales (November)
  • Industrial manufacturing and capability utilization (November)
  • Enterprise inventories (November)
  • Homebuilder confidence index (December)
  • Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) assembly begins

Wednesday, Dec. 18

  • Housing begins and constructing permits (November)
  • FOMC rate of interest choice
  • Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell press convention
  • Micron Expertise, Lennar (LEN), Common Mills (GIS), and Toro (TTC) report earnings

Thursday, Dec. 19

  • Preliminary jobless claims (Week ending Dec. 14)
  • Gross home product (second revision) (Q3)
  • Philadelphia Manufacturing Survey (December)
  • Current residence gross sales (November)
  • U.S. main financial indicators (November)
  • Accenture, Nike, Cintas (CTAS), FedEx, and Paychex (PAYX) report earnings

Friday, Dec. 20

  • Private consumption expenditures (PCE) index (November)
  • Shopper sentiment (ultimate) (December)
  • Carnival Company and Winnebago Industries (WGO) report earnings

Traders Targeted on Fed Charge-Reduce Choice, Powell Remarks, Inflation Report 

Market watchers will probably be carefully following the Federal Reserve this week because it meets for the ultimate time this 12 months. Traders are anticipating that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will approve one other interest-rate reduce from the present federal funds charge degree of 4.50% to 4.75% when the assembly concludes on Wednesday. It might be the third straight assembly during which the Fed has reduce rates of interest.

After the assembly, Fed Chair Jerome Powell will ship remarks that will probably be carefully adopted by market members. 

Traders will get one other key piece of financial information on Friday with the discharge of the non-public consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation index for November. The discharge comes after different inflation measurements confirmed value will increase accelerated in November.  Earlier than that, GDP revisions on Thursday will present whether or not the economic system maintained the 2.8% third-quarter progress charge that had been beforehand calculated.

Different noteworthy financial information coming this week consists of November retail gross sales information on Tuesday, present residence gross sales on Thursday, and shopper sentiment on Friday.

Traders Await Stories from Chipmaker Micron, Shoe Producer Nike

Micron Expertise’s earnings report on Wednesday follows the announcement final week that the chipmaker will obtain a $6.2 billion Commerce Division grant to make semiconductors within the U.S. as a part of the CHIPS and Science Act of 2022. A accomplice of Nvidia, Micron almost doubled its income in its most up-to-date quarterly report, taking pictures previous analyst estimates. 

Athletic attire big Nike on Thursday will situation its first earnings report since Chief Govt Officer (CEO) Elliott Hill returned to steer the corporate after his 2020 retirement. Nike shares are down almost 30% up to now this 12 months however have rebounded some prior to now month.

The Thursday earnings report from FedEx comes after the supply big lowered its earnings and income projections on declining delivery volumes. Enterprise administration consulting agency Accenture will report its earnings Thursday amid an improve in bookings ensuing from larger demand for its generative synthetic intelligence (Gen AI) companies.

Common Mills’ report on Wednesday will shine a lightweight on the well being of the patron after the cereal maker suffered a drop in gross sales in the course of the prior quarter. On the identical day, the earnings report from Lennar comes because the homebuilder’s current outlook upset traders. 

Garden mower vendor Toro will report its earnings on Wednesday, whereas cruise firm Carnival and leisure automobile maker Winnebago will report on Friday.

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