(Photograph credit score: Vincent Carchietta — Imagn Pictures) We’re effectively into September now, and the MLB playoff image is taking form with a couple of dozen video games left within the common season.
Because the season winds down, we’re watching some key sequence, together with the Boston Crimson Sox and New York Yankees, which comprise two of my three finest bets for this slate.
Under are three bets I extremely suggest contemplating for Sunday, Sept. 15. Let’s test it out:
Boston Crimson Sox vs. New York Yankees
The Crimson Sox and Yankees totals line is 8.5 runs, and I’m slamming the over right here. On this one, the 2 pitchers on the mound are Kutter Crawford for the Crimson Sox and Carlos Rodon for the Yankees.
Crawford is 8-14 on the season with a 4.09 EA, whereas Rodon is 14-9 with a 4.15 ERA. Nonetheless, these are two of the highest three pitchers in HR/9, with Crawford main the majors at 1.67 and Rodon at 1.59.
In his final begin towards Kansas Metropolis, Rodon allowed 4 runs (two earned) over six innings, however he additionally gave up two dwelling runs.
For Crawford, he confronted Baltimore and allowed three runs over 6 1/3 innings, together with two dwelling runs.
Every participant has allowed 4 dwelling runs over their final 5 begins, and Yankee Stadium isn’t precisely a difficult park to hit out of.
The Yankees rank second within the league in runs per recreation at 4.98, and the Crimson Sox are ninth at 4.75. So, we now have two offenses that may rating runs, every dealing with pitchers that quit the lengthy ball.
Yeah, simple over guess right here.
The choose: Over 8.5 Runs (-115) at FanDuel Sportsbook
Boston Crimson Sox vs. New York Yankees
Piggybacking off that synopsis of why I’m taking the over, I’m additionally taking Aaron Choose to hit a house run at +240.
Choose is hitting .321 this season with a .453 OBP and a .687 slugging proportion. He leads baseball with 52 dwelling runs this season.
Whereas he has only one over his final 5 video games, he’ll tackle Crawford right here—not solely a pitcher weak to dwelling runs however one which Choose has had an excellent historical past towards.
In 19 at-bats, Choose is hitting . 316 towards Crawford with three dwelling runs.
This may mark one other dwelling run for Choose on this sequence after his go-ahead grand slam Friday, and I believe he’ll ship one out towards the game’s chief in most dwelling runs per 9.
The choose: Aaron Choose to Hit a Residence Run (+240) at FanDuel
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies
Rounding out my finest bets is the beneath for a Coors Subject recreation. Contemplating the ballpark, that appears onerous to consider, however 11.5 runs is just too a lot to take an opportunity on.
Neither pitcher headed to the mound is precisely in Cy Younger consideration, and the Cubs and Rockies are averaging 12.5 runs per recreation on this sequence, however I believe we’ll escape this one simply shy of the over.
Cal Quantrill is on the hill for the house workforce. He’s 8-9 with a 4.63 ERA, however he’s allowed three runs or fewer in three of his 4 August outings. Quantrill has a 4.26 ERA in 12 dwelling begins.
Opposing Quantrill is Cubs pitcher Kyle Hendricks, who’s really been fairly strong at Coors in his profession. He’s 2-1 with a 3.64 ERA throughout 29 2/3 innings, permitting 12 earned runs and simply two dwelling runs.
I might see a end at round 9 or 10 runs, however I don’t assume we hit a dozen right here, contemplating Hendricks’ strong performances right here and Quantrill protecting the runs down recently.
The choose: Beneath 11.5 Runs (-122) at FanDuel
